Men - Women
West Regional Simulation
2015 - 2016 - 2017




Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




SchoolAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Stanford 1.5 59 67.0 21.1 7.2 3.5 1.0 0.3
Oregon 2.9 90 13.9 30.9 26.7 16.5 8.6 3.0 0.4 0.1
Portland 3.1 96 12.0 25.2 26.1 19.6 11.8 4.6 0.6 0.2 0.1
UCLA 3.8 110 5.9 14.7 22.4 27.0 18.4 8.7 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.1
Boise State 4.7 131 1.1 6.0 12.5 21.3 33.3 19.1 5.3 1.2 0.4 0.2
Washington St. 5.7 157 0.3 2.3 5.1 11.1 21.7 37.8 13.2 6.2 2.0 0.7
California 7.6 210 0.1 0.8 3.4 13.7 32.8 23.0 16.3 9.6 0.5 0.1
Cal Poly 8.6 236 0.1 0.2 0.7 4.4 16.2 23.5 29.0 24.4 1.7 0.1
Washington 8.5 237 0.2 0.9 5.9 18.5 23.6 21.5 26.6 2.6 0.3 0.1
San Francisco 8.8 245 0.5 2.8 11.0 21.5 29.4 31.6 3.3 0.1
Gonzaga 11.3 353 0.1 1.4 5.6 65.6 19.3 5.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
San Jose St. 12.9 417 0.1 0.1 1.1 13.4 32.4 25.8 16.3 5.8 3.1 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
Arizona State 13.4 436 0.2 6.1 23.9 29.0 22.9 9.5 3.9 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1
UC Santa Barbara 13.6 442 0.2 6.7 20.6 26.8 24.2 10.6 5.6 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.1
St. Mary's (Cal.) 17.1 540 1.1 2.8 7.5 15.3 16.4 16.4 12.7 11.3 8.5 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.1
Cal St. Fullerton 17.4 547 0.1 1.0 3.1 7.6 14.6 14.6 13.6 12.9 10.5 9.3 6.3 3.4 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
UC Irvine 17.7 553 0.1 0.5 2.4 6.8 12.9 13.8 12.9 14.7 11.0 9.4 7.8 4.0 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1
Loyola Marymount 17.7 554 0.1 0.3 2.1 4.8 12.2 15.2 14.9 14.3 14.6 9.5 5.8 3.4 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1
Idaho 18.3 568 0.1 0.2 1.7 4.2 9.5 12.6 12.0 13.4 13.3 12.4 9.1 5.5 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1
Arizona 18.5 572 0.4 0.8 3.1 7.1 10.1 14.3 13.4 16.2 14.3 9.7 5.3 3.3 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1
Santa Clara 21.2 633 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.1 2.6 4.7 7.1 8.9 13.0 16.5 16.3 11.7 6.7 4.1 2.7 1.9 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.1
Seattle U. 21.9 648 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.5 4.8 6.8 11.5 15.7 15.7 12.3 9.9 6.2 5.4 2.3 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1
Eastern Washington 23.7 686 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.8 2.8 4.5 9.4 14.1 16.2 13.3 10.5 8.5 6.0 4.7 3.5 2.0 1.2
UC Davis 24.1 694 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 4.2 7.5 12.0 15.5 15.7 12.7 9.7 8.5 5.2 3.3 1.6 0.7
UC Riverside 25.5 723 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 3.7 6.8 10.8 13.0 15.1 12.2 11.7 9.5 7.9 5.0 1.9
Fresno State 26.3 741 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.9 6.4 11.7 13.2 14.7 15.0 11.4 9.8 7.8 3.7
Long Beach St. 26.5 745 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.1 4.0 7.2 9.5 12.0 12.6 12.8 13.2 11.3 9.0 5.5
Pepperdine 26.7 750 0.1 0.1 0.6 2.7 4.5 8.3 13.7 15.5 15.6 16.6 12.0 7.0 3.7
Portland State 27.9 774 0.3 1.2 3.5 6.2 11.4 16.6 18.3 21.2 13.7 7.9
Sacramento St. 29.2 806 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.5 4.9 6.5 10.5 14.7 24.7 31.6
San Diego 29.9 824 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.9 8.1 14.6 28.4 43.2
Cal St. Northridge 32.0 970 0.6